Global food prices next year face a triple threat from extreme weather, the US-China trade war and livestock disease, according to a Rabobank study published by the Financial Times. The Times article said the bank’s annual outlook for the new year said geopolitical tension, El Nino (a warming of equatorial Pacific Ocean waters) and the … Read More
Author: Lester Aldrich
Is The Seasonal Rally Topping?
There is little arguing the effect strong beef demand has had on the fed cattle market this year, underpinning prices in the face of active slaughter and more beef production, but the party may be nearing a seasonal end. In a market analysis for Beef magazine, Cattle and Beef Industry Consultant Nevil Speer said the … Read More
Funds Cut Long Cattle Position
Managed money, a proxy for large commodity investment funds, reduced its cumulative net long live cattle futures position in the week ended Tuesday to 51,177 contracts from 59,929, said the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The CFTC revealed the statistics in its weekly Commitments of Traders report Friday. The decline amounted to 8,752 contracts, or 14.6%. … Read More
USDA Lowers 2018 Beef Production Forecast
The USDA’s Economic Research Service lowered its 2018 beef production forecast by 30 million pounds to 26.9 billion pounds from its estimate a month ago. The forecast, contained in the ERS’ monthly Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook Thursday, went on to say the mild revision was based on numbers at the close of the third … Read More
Weekly Boxed Beef Value Rising Seasonally
The weekly average USDA boxed beef cutout value is moving higher seasonally, although the most recent levels are above last year and the 2012-2016 average. The weekly boxed beef cutout value rose $0.70 per cwt to $217.37, its highest value since mid-June, to close out the week ending Nov. 9. But choice beef is not … Read More
Steer Slaughter Behind Year Ago
Steer slaughter so far this year is running below year ago levels, despite quarterly feedlot inventories being larger than last year, said Oklahoma State University Extension Livestock Marketing Specialist Derrell Peel in a market analysis to Extension agents. For the year to date, steer slaughter is about 1% below last year but in the last … Read More
Corn Futures’ WASDE Response Muted
The Chicago corn futures market’s response to the Nov. 9 USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report has been lackluster, said Todd Hubbs, University of Illinois agricultural and consumer economist in an examination of the market for Farm Doc Daily. The report contained significant revisions to Chinese corn supply data and a downward revision … Read More