With Inflation, Expectations Matter

US inflation has been higher than the Federal Reserve’s 2% target for more than three years, increasing the risk that longer-term inflation expectations could take over, according to an economic bulletin from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. But the situation could change, sending a message that longer-term inflation will remain somewhere north of … Read More

Discerning The Start Of Herd Rebuilding

So, how does one tell when cow/calf operators are beginning to rebuild their herd after five years of decline? A check with some market analysts suggests it’s far easier to see that rebuilding is progressing than to pick a starting point as it’s happening. Many times, there is pent-up desire to rebuild the herd, but … Read More

Funds Continue Buying Cattle Futures

For the fifth straight week, managed money, a moniker for large commodity investment funds, increased their collective net long position in live cattle futures, according to data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission Friday. That same report, the weekly Commitments of Traders Report, with chronicles the activity of various trading groups on the previous … Read More

Herd Rebuilding May Have Begun

It looks like herd rebuilding may have begun.  It could be cut off by resurging drought, but for now, rebuilding the US cattle herd looks promising. Total weekly cow slaughter is down, although weekly heifer kills remain elevated from the 2018-2022 average. As of Jan. 1, the USDA reported the US had 87.2 million cattle … Read More

Beige Book: Modest Economic Gains

National economic activity continued to expand from early April to mid-May, according to the Federal Reserve Bank’s Beige Book.  However, conditions varied across industries and districts. The Beige Book is a Federal Reserve System publication about current economic conditions across the 12 Federal Reserve districts.  It characterizes regional economic conditions and prospects based on a … Read More

Female Role In Cattle Cycle Complex

There are numerous unique factors that make the beef cattle industry complex, said Derrell Peel, Oklahoma State University Extension Livestock Marketing Specialist, in a letter called Cow-Calf Corner.   THE TRADE-OFF   Two biological facts are critical: cows have one calf at a time in a rather slow biological process; and two, heifers can be … Read More

Frozen Red Meat Supplies Rise; Poultry Stocks Mixed

5-28-24 – Total red meat supplies in freezers on April 30 were up about 4% from the previous month but down about 9% from last year, the USDA said Friday in its monthly Cold Storage report. Total frozen poultry supplies were up about 3% from the previous month but down about 5% from a year … Read More